宏观 regime 一览:不接入任何个股推荐 — 看完自己决定本周仓位。
强度 = 20EMA斜率 + (200EMA 上方? +2/-2) + 过度伸展扣分。数值越高趋势越强。当前最强 = 重点关注 · 负值 = 趋势向下避开。
| 板块 | 代码 | 当前阶段 | 200EMA | 20EMA 斜率 | 距 200EMA | 趋势强度 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 半导体设备 | SOXX | 上升末 | ✅ | +7.22% | +25.7% | +7.22 |
| 半导体 | SMH | 上升末 | ✅ | +6.26% | +24.0% | +6.26 |
| 信息技术 | XLK | 上升末 | ✅ | +4.75% | +19.1% | +5.75 |
| 软件 | IGV | 上升末 | ✅ | +3.04% | +13.7% | +4.04 |
| 医疗 | XLV | 上升末 | ✅ | -0.86% | +6.2% | +1.14 |
| 能源 | XLE | 上升末 | ✅ | -0.20% | +12.8% | +0.80 |
| 油气勘探开采 | XOP | 上升末 | ✅ | -0.60% | +13.8% | +0.40 |
| 生物科技 | XBI | 上升中 | ✅ | -3.35% | +7.7% | -1.35 |
| 工业 | XLI | 上升中 | ✅ | -3.76% | +0.7% | -1.76 |
| 通信服务 | XLC | 下降中 | ❌ | +0.21% | -0.1% | -1.79 |
| 金融 | XLF | 上升中 | ✅ | -4.63% | +0.1% | -2.63 |
| 资本市场 | KCE | 上升中 | ✅ | -5.82% | +0.9% | -3.82 |
| 必需消费 | XLP | 下降中 | ❌ | -3.28% | -1.2% | -5.28 |
| 可选消费 | XLY | 下降中 | ❌ | -3.98% | -2.6% | -5.98 |
| 保险 | KIE | 下降初 | ❌ | -4.56% | -0.2% | -6.56 |
| 原材料 | XLB | 下降初 | ❌ | -4.65% | -0.3% | -6.65 |
| 银行 | KBE | 下降初 | ❌ | -4.93% | -0.9% | -6.93 |
| 房地产 | XLRE | 下降中 | ❌ | -5.49% | -4.2% | -7.49 |
| 公用事业 | XLU | 下降中 | ❌ | -6.02% | -5.0% | -8.02 |
| 中概股 | KWEB | 下降末 | ❌ | -5.39% | -13.5% | -8.39 |
| 航天国防 | XAR | 下降末 | ❌ | -8.77% | -9.2% | -10.00 |
怎么读:每一格 = 某板块在某月的趋势强度。绿色越深 = 趋势越强(顺势持有),红色越深 = 趋势越弱(避开)。
看什么:横向扫一行 → 看一个板块过去 2 年的强弱变化;
纵向扫一列 → 看某月哪个板块在领涨 / 哪个在掉队。
一片绿色里突然出红 = 顶部预警;一片红色里出绿 = 底部机会。
| 板块 | 2024-11 | 2024-12 | 2025-01 | 2025-02 | 2025-03 | 2025-04 | 2025-05 | 2025-06 | 2025-07 | 2025-08 | 2025-09 | 2025-10 | 2025-11 | 2025-12 | 2026-01 | 2026-02 | 2026-03 | 2026-04 | 2026-05 | 2026-06 | 2026-07 | 2026-08 | 2026-09 | 2026-10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 半导体设备 SOXX | -5 | +1 | +3 | -5 | -17 | -15 | +7 | +31 | +18 | +4 | +14 | +25 | +10 | -1 | +17 | +17 | -4 | +31 | +73 | +39 | -11 | -19 | +13 | +15 |
| 半导体 SMH | +1 | +3 | +3 | -2 | -15 | -11 | +15 | +33 | +21 | +5 | +13 | +25 | +8 | -0 | +15 | +13 | -4 | +25 | +56 | +29 | -9 | -14 | +13 | +14 |
| 信息技术 XLK | +5 | +7 | +1 | -1 | -12 | -9 | +14 | +22 | +15 | +5 | +8 | +15 | +3 | -3 | +3 | -2 | -10 | +16 | +44 | +20 | -7 | -1 | +13 | +9 |
| 软件 IGV | +17 | +11 | -1 | -1 | -16 | +1 | +17 | +15 | +9 | +1 | +4 | +8 | -11 | -6 | -16 | -26 | -14 | -0 | +29 | +6 | -9 | +22 | +15 | +2 |
| 医疗 XLV | -2 | -8 | +2 | +10 | +2 | -7 | -11 | -6 | -3 | -0 | +9 | +7 | +14 | +10 | +1 | +5 | -7 | -10 | +4 | +11 | +11 | +8 | +6 | -0 |
| 能源 XLE | +11 | -4 | -9 | +8 | +9 | -13 | -15 | +4 | +10 | +9 | +5 | +0 | +3 | +4 | +15 | +25 | +21 | +8 | -7 | -8 | +8 | +21 | +4 | +1 |
| 油气勘探开采 XOP | +13 | -0 | -9 | -3 | -3 | -18 | -11 | +12 | +10 | +8 | +6 | -6 | +3 | -2 | +7 | +23 | +30 | +16 | -9 | -11 | +10 | +23 | +2 | +1 |
| 生物科技 XBI | +3 | -9 | -9 | -4 | -15 | -8 | -4 | -2 | +6 | +10 | +18 | +25 | +23 | +9 | +3 | +5 | +3 | +4 | +8 | +21 | +9 | +3 | +8 | -5 |
| 工业 XLI | +7 | +1 | -1 | +5 | -3 | -1 | +11 | +14 | +8 | +5 | +4 | +4 | +2 | +2 | +9 | +15 | +0 | -0 | +9 | +7 | +6 | -3 | -9 | -0 |
| 通信服务 XLC | +10 | +6 | +5 | +6 | -4 | -4 | +7 | +15 | +7 | +4 | +12 | +4 | -1 | +5 | +6 | +2 | -5 | +1 | +6 | -10 | -8 | +6 | +5 | +2 |
| 金融 XLF | +14 | +5 | +2 | +9 | -1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | +5 | +5 | +5 | -1 | +1 | +7 | +3 | -8 | -9 | +4 | +6 | +5 | +13 | +10 | -4 | -4 |
| 资本市场 KCE | +19 | +6 | +0 | +3 | -11 | -12 | +9 | +18 | +15 | +8 | +1 | -4 | -3 | +5 | +9 | -1 | -13 | +7 | +12 | -1 | +8 | +17 | -2 | -7 |
| 必需消费 XLP | +2 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +6 | +1 | +3 | +2 | -1 | +2 | -3 | -7 | +3 | +1 | +8 | +17 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +1 | +5 | +4 | -7 | -6 |
| 可选消费 XLY | +12 | +15 | +6 | -2 | -17 | -10 | +10 | +12 | +6 | +9 | +9 | +6 | +1 | +2 | +5 | -0 | -12 | +3 | +13 | +1 | -2 | +1 | -8 | -6 |
| 保险 KIE | +10 | +3 | -4 | +8 | +7 | -2 | -0 | +7 | -6 | +1 | +7 | -6 | +3 | +9 | -0 | -1 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +9 | +18 | +6 | -11 | -3 |
| 原材料 XLB | +0 | -11 | -8 | +3 | -5 | -7 | -2 | +7 | +4 | +7 | +5 | -9 | +2 | +8 | +12 | +19 | +4 | -1 | +4 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -5 | -4 |
| 银行 KBE | +17 | +4 | -3 | +5 | -7 | -13 | +2 | +13 | +8 | +11 | +8 | -4 | +1 | +10 | +9 | +3 | -4 | +8 | +9 | +8 | +11 | +1 | -7 | -4 |
| 房地产 XLRE | +2 | -3 | -5 | +8 | +4 | -2 | +2 | +3 | +2 | +4 | +5 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +11 | -3 | +4 | +10 | +2 | +5 | +2 | -11 | -9 |
| 公用事业 XLU | +4 | -2 | -3 | +7 | +4 | +2 | +6 | +6 | +7 | +5 | +4 | +8 | +6 | -1 | -2 | +13 | +9 | +1 | -1 | -1 | +2 | -9 | -13 | -5 |
| 中概股 KWEB | -7 | -4 | +7 | +17 | +13 | -3 | -4 | +9 | +9 | +12 | +19 | +6 | -9 | -8 | +2 | -11 | -23 | -10 | -9 | -18 | +5 | +2 | -17 | -8 |
| 航天国防 XAR | +13 | +9 | +1 | +2 | -6 | +5 | +20 | +23 | +13 | +4 | +9 | +15 | -1 | -2 | +19 | +17 | -5 | -6 | +14 | +11 | -6 | -8 | -15 | -11 |
数据来源:Yahoo Finance · 数据截至 2026-10-07 · 共 21 个标的。